Tuesday, February 12, 2013

Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies, Fourth Edition, University Edition (Wiley Finance)

Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies, Fourth Edition, University Edition (Wiley Finance)

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Product Description

The University Edition of Valuation 4e offers students and professors up-to-date information on valuing companies. It contains all the revisions of the main edition, plus end of chapter questions for the needs of the classroom.

Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies, Fourth Edition, University Edition (Wiley Finance) Review

This is an elaborate textbook on how to do business valuation using Discounted Cash Flows (DCF). It describes both the basics as well as many of the more advanced aspects of valuation incl. valuation of multi-business, cyclical, and growing companies, as well as companies operating in highly inflationary countries.

The aim of the book is to arrive at a rather precise measure of value for a business through detailed valuations. The authors claim to have an error of some 15% in their valuations and this is my first complaint about the book: Their valuations are based on extrapolated future cash flows and even when multiple scenarios of the future are taken into account, there is no way you can achieve that kind of precision. Even Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger aren't that precise in their valuations and they have been doing it for many decades. The trick to investing is to have a greater margin of safety in your buying-price. But the authors dismiss that as being possible, as the book relies on academic theories such as the Efficient Market Theory, Capital Asset Pricing Model, etc., which claim that the stock-markets are good at pricing stocks correctly and great bargains cannot be found. These theories are incorrect in my opinion and experience, and should therefore not be used in valuation e.g. to determine the cost of capital.

Overall I have given the book 3 of 5 stars because it does contain some interesting information and ideas for doing valuation. But it is clear that the authors are financial consultants who have an interest in making their craft seem as complicated as possible. It takes much effort to read this book and I therefore recommend some more accessible books instead.

For a practitioner who wants to understand cash flow analysis I recommend the book: Free Cash Flow by George Christy, and for understanding corporate finance I recommend: Analysis for Financial Management by Robert Higgins.

PS: This review is for the 4th University Edition.

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